EPISARS

Prevention of future SARS epidemics through the control of animal and human infection



 

 


 

WP 7: SARS natural history: clinical evolution and long-term excretion of virus

 


Objectives

To study the determinants of long-term (lung fibrosis) outcomes in patients with SARS.

To evaluate the risk of virus long-term excretion in recovered patients,

To validate data collection forms (epidemiological, clinical, and biological) for use in hospitals in case of future SARS outbreaks.

 

Description of work

Task 1: Two cohorts of convalescent patients are available for studies as part of this project: one linked to department of Infectious Diseases at the PUMC Hospital, and one at the General Hospital of Beijing Armed Police. Both cohorts include clinical and epidemiological data at intake. They differ by the type of biological samples available at a later stage:

- the PUMC Hospital cohort has sequential plasma and PBMC samples from the acute phase on 100 patients and every month thereafter on about 60 subjects,
- the General Hospital of Beijing Armed Police Hospital cohort has sequential blood / throat / faeces / urine samples kept at -20°C / -80°C from 70 subjects.

Follow-up is planned every three months for 2 years. Long-term clinical outcome (detailed assessment of lung functions) will be studied in both cohorts.

Task 2: Early clinical and biological data will be used to study the risk factors for poor short-term (transfer to intensive care units and death) and long-term (lung fibrosis) outcomes in these two cohorts of patients. Long-term excretion of SARS-CoV (in urines and stools by RT-PCR method, and viral isolation if PCR-positive) will be examined.

Task 3: A critical analysis of data collected during the first epidemic among hospitalised patients will be performed to improve data collection forms in case of a new epidemic.

 

 

Deliverables

D37 Risk factors long-term clinical outcome based in initial assessment and follow-up.

D38 Incidence and infectiousness of long-term viral excretion in patients with SARS.

D39 Improved data collection forms for use in hospital in case of a new epidemic.

 

Milestones and expected result

M0-M6: prepare adequate databases and review of the respitory tests performed at month 12 after the onset of the disease

M6-M12: interim analysis on risk factors for poor clinical outcome after the first year of follow-up

M6-M18: analysis of long-term viral excretion in recovered patients within the first year of follow-up

M15-M30: synthesis of the results and preparation fo manuscripts

Expected results: better knowledge of long-term clinical outcome of patients with SARS, evaluation of the risk for long term viral excretion in the community





 

 

 


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